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The Long Emergency: Surviving the End of Oil, Climate Change, and Other Converging Catastrophes of the Twenty-First Century, by James Howa
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A controversial hit that sparked debate among businessmen, environmentalists, and bloggers, The Long Emergency by James Howard Kunstler is an eye-opening look at the unprecedented challenges we face in the years ahead, as oil runs out and the global systems built on it are forced to change radically.
- Sales Rank: #240346 in Books
- Brand: Brand: Grove Press
- Published on: 2006-03-02
- Ingredients: Example Ingredients
- Original language: English
- Number of items: 1
- Dimensions: 9.10" h x .91" w x 6.11" l, .90 pounds
- Binding: Paperback
- 336 pages
- Great product!
From Publishers Weekly
The indictment of suburbia and the car culture that the author presented in The Geography of Nowhere turns apocalyptic in this vigorous, if overwrought, jeremiad. Kunstler notes signs that global oil production has peaked and will soon dwindle, and argues in an eye-opening, although not entirely convincing, analysis that alternative energy sources cannot fill the gap, especially in transportation. The result will be a Dark Age in which "the center does not hold" and "all bets are off about civilization's future." Absent cheap oil, auto-dependent suburbs and big cities will collapse, along with industry and mechanized agriculture; serfdom and horse-drawn carts will stage a comeback; hunger will cause massive "die-back"; otherwise "impotent" governments will engineer "designer viruses" to cull the surplus population; and Asian pirates will plunder California. Kunstler takes a grim satisfaction in this prospect, which promises to settle his many grudges against modernity. A "dazed and crippled America," he hopes, will regroup around walkable, human-scale towns; organic local economies of small farmers and tradesmen will replace an alienating corporate globalism; strong bonds of social solidarity will be reforged; and our heedless, childish culture of consumerism will be forced to grow up. Kunstler's critique of contemporary society is caustic and scintillating as usual, but his prognostications strain credibility. (May)
Copyright � Reed Business Information, a division of Reed Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
From Booklist
Kunstler established a writing career criticizing American suburbia (e.g., The Geography of Nowhere, 1993), and his animosity against his bete noire does not abate here. It's a wide--casting, statistics-studded ramble through energy production and technologies, world economic and political history, and climatology that culminates in predictions that the suburbs are doomed. His assertions are always self--confident, sometimes immodestly so, as when he dismisses in toto any possibility that the market, or technologists, will rescue contemporary civilization from a world of declining oil production. Discerning an imminent future of protracted socioeconomic crisis, Kunstler foresees the progressive dilapidation of subdivisions and strip malls, the depopulation of the American Southwest, and, amid a world at war over oil, military invasions of the West Coast; when the convulsion subsides, Americans will live in smaller places and eat locally grown food. Credit Kunstler with an energetic argument, but whether he has achieved his stated goal--waking up an ostensibly somnolent public--via his relentless and alarmist pessimism remains to be seen. Gilbert Taylor
Copyright � American Library Association. All rights reserved
Review
“It used to be that only environmentalists and paranoids warned about the world running out of oil and the future it could bring: crashing economies, resource wars, social breakdown, agony at the pump. Not anymore. . . . America’s dependence on oil is too pervasive to undo quickly, [Kunstler] warns. . . . In the meantime, we’ll have our hands full dealing with . . . the soaring temperatures, rising sea levels and mega-droughts brought by global climate change. Not long ago, a Jeremiah like Kunstler would have been dismissed as a kook. . . . As brilliant as it is baleful . . . and we disregard it at our peril.” —The Washington Post
“This is a frightening and important book.” —Time Out Chicago
“If you give a damn, you should read this book.” —Colin Tudge, The Independent
“What sets The Long Emergency apart…is its comprehensive sweep—its powerful integration of science, technology, economics, finance, international politics and social change, along with a fascinating attempt to peer into a chaotic future. Kunstler is such a compelling and sometimes eloquent writer that the book is hard to put down.” –American Scientist
“[A] popular blueprint for surviving the end of oil.” —Paul Greenberg, The New York Times Book Review
“Funny, irreverent, and blunt.” –The Globe and Mail
“An especial strength of this book is its break with some of the more pernicious strands in the contemporary left, specifically the left’s kneejerk rejection of America acting militarily in its national interest. . . . There are hints of Malthus here, and of Oswald Spangler’s Decline of the West as well. Mr. Kunstler’s book is a jeremiad, driven by authorial presence. Pithy, entertaining descriptions of historical phenomena like the Soviet Union . . . enliven the text, allowing the veteran commentator to expound on themes that might read leaden by a less facile wordsmith. . . . The book succeeds as an accessible primer to a looming crisis that could end the American way of life.” —A.G. Gancarski, Washington Times
“Kunstler is an amusing and engaging observer and polemicist, and the terrain he surveys is unforgiving and perilous.” —Robert Birnbaum, The Morning News
“Novelist and journalist James Howard Kunstler is the leading popular voice of peak oil, the theory that says we have gone through more than half the world’s supply of this much-needed resource. Kunstler’s regular Monday morning posts foretell a world beset by oil shortages, which he believes will lead to everything from financial shenanigans (sound familiar?) to food riots, not to mention attacks on the wealthy, abandoned suburban housing developments and a forced return to small-town living.” —Helaine Olen, Portfolio
“Kunstler displays a kind of macabre wit about the unpleasantness and strife that await us all. . . . His assertions have a neat way of doubling back to anticipate your critiques. If you express doubt about his views, then you may well be among the deluded masses too addicted to your McSUV and McSuburb to accept the reality that lies ahead.”
—Katharine Mieszkowski, salon.com
“Kunstler is America’s version of an Old Testament prophet, a stinging social critic who warns of dark days ahead if we do not change the way we live.” —Brian Kaller, Pulse
“Kunstler’s book was shockingly readable and engaging….He covers a vast array of topics…I felt like I’d taken a crash course on Big Oil, Global Warming, and Geopolitics just to name a few.”—Romi Lassally, Huffington Post
“James Howard Kunstler’s The Long Emergency may be destined to become the Dante’s Inferno of the twenty-first century. It graphically depicts the horrific punishments that lie ahead for Americans for more than a century of sinful consumption and sprawling communities, fueled by the profligate use of cheap oil and gas. Its central message—that the country will pay dearly unless it urgently develops new, sustainable community-scale food systems, energy sources, and living patterns—should be read, digested, and acted upon by every conscientious U.S. politician and citizen.” —Michael Shuman, author of Going Local: Creating Self-Reliant Communities in a Global Age
“If you give a damn, you should read this book.” —Colin Tudge, The Independent (UK)
“Kunstler concentrates on the continuing environmental instability and the political consequences of the fuel cessation in equal bouts and this makes for a well rounded argument.” —Buzz (UK)
“In the annals of doomsday literature . . . The Long Emergency is destined to become the new standard. . . . Demands frank consideration of what up to now has been unthinkable: that the ascendancy of the human race might have been a temporary phenomenon. . . . This case has been made before, but here it is made powerfully and articulately, with no apology and no hint of reprieve. . . . The Long Emergency represents a ‘wake-up call’ in the same sense that a hand grenade tossed through your bedroom window might serve as an alarm clock. The book is stark and frightening. Read it soon.” —Jim Charlier, Daily Camera
“A shrewd and engaging social commentator.” —Sierra Atlantic
“Adds a relentless, scary, and entertaining voice to the rising alarm about life after the cheap oil is gone. . . . The internal logic of the argument is persuasive, and one reads . . . the book with white knuckles.” —Bryant Urstadt, technologyreview.com
“Authoritative and eye-opening. His predictions for the future make for a page-turning ‘Brave New World.’” —T-D (London)
“James Howard Kunstler has given us, with his usual engaging wit and verve, a new kind
of post-apocalypse scenario. Instead of the nuclear or ice-age wasteland of our earlier imaginings, he has depicted with detailed extrapolation the civilization of the United States after the oil runs out and a great economic collapse occurs. It is a strangely arcadian vision, like the agrarian America that Jefferson, Calhoun, and the Southern Agrarians dreamed of. But Kunstler has fleshed it out with delightful quirky insights and provided our science fiction writers with a fresh mise-en-scene.” —Frederick Turner, author of The New World and The Culture of Hope
Most helpful customer reviews
4 of 5 people found the following review helpful.
You’ll love wallowing in it
By Quantum Thinker
(** Misleading title ! NOT a practical perspective or survival book !**)
If you are a "true believer" in relativism that believes in the current fads of global warming, anti-oil, "sustainability", over-population, etc.; believes that man's ingenuity cannot overcome obstacles; and believes the USA is an arrogant, slothful, racist and wasteful polluter with no redeeming traits that should die a slow death out of guilt for it sins of abusing finite hydrocarbons, then this read is for you. You’ll love wallowing in it. It is generally more a social commentary than a serious scholarly presentation.
The bottom line is that he admits not having any answers and unsure of the future himself. He really offers no solutions to his bleak outlook on life.
Anyone can choose a side and then go after supporting data and sources to support their viewpoint - as all pre-filtered editorial perspectives do. For this topic, I happen to understand both factual and conjectural sides of the issue (he does not) and could easily debate either perspective about planetary resources. He would have been better off doing the same in his book, presenting both sides for the reader to contemplate. I got thru roughly 50% of this book and stopped due to tedious redundancy of the same material which is essentially a constant negative (and selective) view of past history with a bleak unredemptive future replete with a thesaurus of hopeless words, concepts and writing structure. It appears as if the author imprints his self-admitted personal tragedies (including multi-generational divorces & isolation) with their attendant bitterness into his writings.
Similar to the author, 'am in his age bracket; originally born & raised in upstate NYS; a grad from the SUNY system. But unlike the author, have been involved intimately in the oil & gas industry, living in the South for years. As such I would say this man is immersed in ignorance (feigned or real) as well as acute depression - but refuses to treat either! He would celebrate the suicidal end of evil planet sucking mankind including his own.
NOTE: Book published 11 years ago with dated material & prognostications.
3 of 3 people found the following review helpful.
A powerful look into the near future
By Martin G. Portner
I must admit that I was prepared for this treatise on our civilization's future by having already read some very good books and articles on the subject including Dr. Steve Leeb's masterpiece, "The Oil Factor", and "Game Over" and also the daily updates on my favorite energy-related web site, "The Oil Drum" [...]. So, in a way this review is from a member of the choir, not a neophyte that has come to this point of view via sudden epiphany.
That notwithstanding, I found the prose in this book quite enjoyable to read and at times, caused the hair on the back of my neck to stand straight up, due to the content. How is it that we let our endowment of oil, this cheap, easy-to-find and extract energy source, be squandered on something as unsustainable as the American urban and sub-urban lifestyles? Mr. Kunstler explains this foolishness in a series of chapters that exposes the cluster of memes that permeate our thinking and render us utterly powerless to stop or even slightly modify our wasteful behavior patterns. The memes of "There is plenty of easy-to-get-to cheap oil and it's just a matter of finding it" and "If we can get the tree-huggers to give up on ANWR, we will be in like Flynn" and my favorite, "Technology will save us with some new energy delivery system based on hydrogen, wind power, solar power, natural gas and if all else fails, nuclear power to propel us into the future!" are all part of the trance that we have entered as part of the constant over-supply of, among other things, mindless entertainment that distracts our attention while extracting dollars from our wallets, with very little in return to show for our time spent gazing at our televisions, movie screens and computer monitors.
Mr. Kunstler carefully decomposes each of these memes (and many more) to shows the likely consequences of what holding on to them will cost us.
Two other points: I needed to have a dictionary handy when reading this tome. Mr. Kunstler's writing vocabulary dwarfs my reading vocabulary! Also, I think that he is predominantly correct, but that his predictions will unfold much slower than he suggests in his book. New economies will spring forward and become widespread and cushion the shock when "Peak Oil" manifests for real. However, I am taking his description of the "dog days" (or should it be "dog years") of the Long Emergency at face value and preparing for them now. If it does not happen, I will be way ahead of the game in terms of detachment from the material aspects of life and more self-reliant as a consequence. If he's right, well, the same analysis applies.
12 of 12 people found the following review helpful.
speculative but still worth reading
By Michael Lewyn
By and large, this book rests upon two factual claims:
1. The world supply of oil and natural gas is starting to decline, and will continue to decline in coming decades.
2. No alternative technologies will bail out industrial civilization, because most other sources of energy cannot be created without prodigious amounts of oil and natural gas (which, if assumption (1) is correct, will not be around).
If assumptions (1) and (2) are correct, industrial civilization will disappear, and standards of living will decline around the world.
I have no way of knowing whether assumptions (1) and (2) are in fact correct; these seem to me to be technical issues that only scientists can have informed opinions upon.
But having said that, Kunstler does present an interesting case that (1) and (2) are at least possible. And he certainly presents a good case that if (1) and (2) come to pass, civilization will take a giant leap backwards. So I think this book is worth reading, even if one should not take it as gospel.
I do think it could have used a bit of editing in the second half; judging by the most negative reviews, many of Kunstler's comments therein about Wal-Mart, the South, etc. seem to have needlessly inflamed readers, and I found his discussion of "entropy" and the economy hard to follow in parts. But even if you skip the second half, the early chapters of this book are worth reading.
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